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Our thinking

We write to explain our thought process and share our point of view. Direct, unhedged, and free of mainstream thinking. Articles are originally written in Norwegian, translated with AI. If anything reads unclear, the Norwegian version is the one to trust.

ArtiCLES

Who is shouting "bubble"? And why memory, of all things?

Micron has skyrocketed. So have SK Hynix and Samsung's memory division. And as if on cue, a host of people have appeared on X, in comment sections, and during coffee breaks who have found their new favorite word: bubble. Let's pause there for a moment.

Asymmetri som strategi

Symmetri signaliserer god helse, stabile gener, fravær av utviklingsforstyrrelser. Det er en evolusjonær snarvei: hjernen vår tolker symmetri som “alt er på stell”. I investeringer er det stikk motsatt; der er asymmetri det du burde leter etter.

Infinite supply

What happens when machines take over human labor? In 2022, what has subsequently been called “The Chat-GPT moment” occurred. In 2026, we will have what will eventually be called “The OpenClaw moment”.

No need to panic!

After a correction in the stock market a few weeks, it looks as if the world is falling apart. At least in the financial press. On March 24, 2025, Dagensnäringsliv (DN) wrote an article about Avanto Right Tail (ART), our hedge fund. The article was absolutely correct in every way, and we're glad that a young and curious journalist took the trouble to look us up rather than write something that came pre-served from a media adviser.

The MAGA Magic Money Trick

Donald Trump and the MAGA movement are now the world’s biggest proponents of cryptocurrency, but it hasn't always been this way. In 2019, Trump was "not a fan" of Bitcoin, but by the 2024 campaign, his tone had shifted completely, culminating in a thunderous speech at the Bitcoin conference in Nashville where he promised a pro-crypto agenda, a "Strategic Bitcoin Reserve," and a firm "no" to any CBDC (Central Bank Digital Currency).

Tech bloodbath. Crypto collapse. AI bubble. Is it over?

Market sentiment is at its lowest level in years. Gloomy headlines have dominated the media over the past few weeks, creating the impression that the bull market is already over. At the same time, the most widely used sentiment indicators reflect this same pessimism: CNN’s Fear & Greed Index points to extreme fear in the stock market, and CoinMarketCap’s crypto index is at an all-time low. In other words, the mood isn't just bad—it’s extremely bad.

StrategY
Our co-investors care about transparency, good discussion, and results. We invest our own money in the funds and have short decision-making lines and clear accountability.
Rune Mæle
Founding partner
We don't look for what everyone else is looking for. If everyone sees the same thing, it's already priced in. Avanto has the patience required to generate returns, and the courage to stand alone a little longer than is comfortable.
Rune Mæle
Founding partner
Instead of hunting for extreme downturns, we found it more effective to hunt for extreme upturns. They're actually more common than people think.
Lars H Mikelsen
Partner
Successful investing is about more than numbers. It's about sharing perspectives and creating value together with other investors.
Lars H Mikelsen
Partner